BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Wake Forest

Class: 1 Class Rank: 113 Overall: (14-18) Overall Strength =   38.80
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (4-15) | District: 1-01 Record: (4-15)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      33.88  71  64    1 219 (23-13) Radford                -4.52     11.52                      
 2 11-06-2025 Home    W      36.47  78  41    1 358 ( 3-27) Presbyterian           -1.93 *   38.93                      
 3 11-09-2025 Home    W      46.77  77  48    1 304 (10-21) Hampton                 8.38     20.62                      
 4 11-13-2025 Home    W      27.27  66  61    1 269 (17-13) Mercer                -11.13     16.13                      
 5 11-20-2025 Home    W      18.34  68  65    1 312 ( 9-20) NC Central            -20.06     23.06                      
 6 11-23-2025 Home    W      20.86  60  49    1 350 ( 3-26) W Carolina            -17.54 *   28.54                      
 7 11-26-2025 Neutral W      71.62  93  35    1 342 ( 5-26) Morgan St              33.22     24.78                      
 8 11-27-2025 Neutral W   *  42.65  65  60 1  1 122 (11-19) UCF                     4.25      0.75                      
 9 11-28-2025 Neutral W      49.97  57  44    1 139 (24-13) Illinois St            11.57      1.43                      
10 12-03-2025 Home    L      23.13  64  67    1 229 (17-14) William & Mary        -15.27     12.27                      
11 12-07-2025 Home    L      38.41  56  58    1  89 (14-17) Georgetown              0.01     -2.01                      
12 12-14-2025 Home    W * *  44.84  57  56    1  66 (14-19) Georgia Tech            6.44     -5.44                      
13 12-18-2025 Home    L * *  44.72  61  64    1  52 (18-15) Miami FL                6.33     -9.33                      
14 12-22-2025 Home    W      25.47  78  66    1 327 (12-19) Gardner Webb          -12.93     24.93                      
15 01-01-2026 Away    W * *  48.74  74  55    1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             10.34      8.66                      
16 01-04-2026 Home    L * *  36.25  58  73    1  40 (24- 9) Syracuse               -2.15    -12.85                      
17 01-08-2026 Away    L * *  43.16  43  55    1  45 (21-14) Stanford                4.76    -16.76                      
18 01-11-2026 Away    L * *  45.20  52  61    1  50 (21-15) California              6.80    -15.80                      
19 01-15-2026 Home    L * *  39.57  77  95    1  29 (21-11) NC State                1.17    -19.17                      
20 01-18-2026 Away    L * *  49.06  71  78 1  1  41 (21-12) Clemson                10.66    -17.66                      
21 01-24-2026 Home    L * *  23.41  57  85    1  35 (23-10) Virginia Tech         -14.99    -13.01                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    L * *  46.81 103 109 3  1  39 (22-12) Virginia                8.41    -14.41                      
23 02-01-2026 Away    L * *  35.22  44  80    1   9 (27- 9) Duke                   -3.18 *  -32.82                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    W *    38.47  70  65    1 191 ( 9-21) SMU                     0.08      4.92                      
25 02-08-2026 Home    L * *  33.01  56  84    1  16 (28- 8) North Carolina         -5.39    -22.61                      
26 02-12-2026 Away    L * *  49.86  67  86    1   8 (29- 8) Louisville             11.47 *  -30.47                      
27 02-19-2026 Home    L * *  35.84  54  78    1  20 (25-11) Notre Dame             -2.56    -21.44                      
28 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  47.36  79  65    1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College          8.96      5.04                      
29 02-26-2026 Away    L * *  53.93  56  65    1  29 (21-11) NC State               15.53    -24.53                      
30 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  36.66  74  77 1  1 107 (10-21) Florida St             -1.74     -1.26                      
31 03-04-2026 Neutral L * *  28.51  52  75    1  50 (21-15) California             -9.89    -13.11                      
32 03-19-2026 Home    L      13.29  48  59    1 247 (20-15) MD E Shore            -25.10     14.10                      
      Averages              38.40  65.2 66.3

Best game:   71.62 = 58 point win over Morgan St
Worst game:  13.29 = 11 point loss to MD E Shore
Team stdev:  12.03